Transport models

Transport models provide a way of understanding and quantifying the complex interactions between the economy, transport infrastructure and transport policy.

As such, they can be a valuable tool for forecasting and scenario development, investment appraisal, impact assessment, and cost-benefit analysis, for example. Panteia  has been heavily involved in the development of national and European transport models, especially for freight transport.

DGMOVE – High-Tool The DGMOVE FP7 HIGH-TOOL project is developing an IPR-free, high-level strategic transport model to assess economic, social and environmental impacts of transport policy. The HIGH-TOOL model will allow quick scanning of transport policy options by the European Commission (EC). Input and output indicators of the model will be based on policy targets of the White Paper 2011 and the Roadmap for moving to a low-carbon economy in 2050, but may also be relevant to other areas of transport policy. The EC’s Impact Assessment Guidelines will serve as an important reference to define the model’s output variables. The model will serve as a pre-selection tool of policy options that will be further evaluated by more detailed models such as TRANSTOOLS and TREMOVE.

DGMOVE – Trans-Tools v2.6 Trans-Tools was developed within DGMOVE’s FP6 programme as a reference model for analysing transport network flows within Europe.  It was based upon existing methodologies, and made use of the (year 2000) ETIS-Base database.  Later it was updated for a 2005 base year.  As a network assignment model it can be used to calculate detailed transport impacts per transport mode.  It is an IPR-free model.  Within Trans-Tools v2.6 (2012), Panteia has developed the Trans-Tools Freight Module (TTFM) which provides the freight forecasting and mode split functionality.

Panteia – NEAC10 NEAC10 is a successor to the NEAC  freight model developed by NEA as an in-house model of European trade flows.  Its Mode Chain Builder module (MCB) uses detailed transport networks to model transport mode chains, thus making it possible to model port choice and intermodal transport.  These chains or sequences of modal links are estimated at NUTS3 level for the whole of Europe.  Since 2012 NEAC10 has been updated to the base year 2010, using the ETISplus database (FP7), including the ETISplus transport networks.  It also incorporates the VENUS assignment model, allowing detailed estimation of links flows for all modes across Europe.

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